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Cement Sector – Near-term margins under pressure

ICICIdirect Research 25 Sep 2026 DISCLAIMER

Over the last 2-3 months, cement prices have remained largely stable despite companies trying to increase the price and pass on the cost
Though cement prices have been hiked by Rs 5-10/bag in Sept 2026 across all regions, these price hikes are lower than expected to cover the cost increase and sustainability of these price hikes needs to be seen in coming days. Further hikes are expected from Oct 2026
Overall profitability is expected to remain under pressure during Q2-Q3FY27 due to cost pressure (mainly fuel and packaging costs) amid ongoing middle east conflict. As per the management commentaries, an impact of Rs 150-200/ton is expected in Q2FY27
We believe that overall profitability should improve from FY28 onwards, supported by firm demand scenario, improvement in cement prices, continuous focus on operational efficiencies (like increasing usage of green power & fuel, freight, and RM cost optimization),
We remain positive on UltraTech Cement (TP – Rs 13,880), Dalmia Bharat (TP – Rs 2,300), JK Cement (TP – Rs 6,550) and Nuvoco Vistas (TP – Rs 465)

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