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US to Impose 50% Tariff on India - Know Reasons and Impact

08 Aug 2025|
8 min read |
by ICICI Securities Team

 

The Indian equity market is under pressure this week, primarily due to the USA's tariff on India. An important question for investors is how much the market will react to the tariffs, if at all. To understand the answer to this question, you must grasp the impact of the USA's tariff on India.

What is a Tariff?

For those new to this term, let's take a moment to understand it. A tariff is a tax that a country puts on goods that come from other countries. Assume you want to buy a cool smartphone made in China. If the Indian government puts a tariff of Rs 5,000 on that phone, it becomes more expensive for you to buy — maybe to encourage you to buy a Made-in-India phone instead.

Governments use tariffs to protect local businesses from foreign competition. For example, if Indian steel is Rs 50 per kg and Chinese steel is Rs 40, companies might prefer the cheaper Chinese option. But if India adds a Rs 15 tariff per kg on Chinese steel, it becomes Rs 55. Now, Indian steel is more affordable, and local businesses get a chance to grow.

As an investor, understanding tariffs is crucial because it helps you identify which sectors or companies might benefit or lose out due to such policies. Let us now move to the US tariff on India.

Update on Tariff by the USA on India

Earlier, US President Donald Trump imposed a 25% tariff, which was effective from 7 August 2025. Now, on 6 August, he has announced an additional tariff of 25% on India, which makes it a total tariff of 50%.

The extra 25% will come into effect from 27 August 2025. According to experts, if these high tariffs remain, Indian goods in the US will become significantly more expensive. It could lead to a nearly half-slash in US exports.

Why is USA Imposing High Traiffs on India?

India has continued to import discounted oil from Russia, even as the West tries to isolate Russia for its war in Ukraine. The US sees this as financially helping Russia, even if indirectly.

To punish this, earlier, President Trump announced a 25% “penalty tariff” on Indian goods, calling it a matter of national security. This is on top of an earlier 25% “reciprocal tariff,” meaning many Indian exports to the US now face a total 50% import duty. Overall, it is one of the highest rates the US has ever imposed on a trading partner.

Impact of Tariffs on Indian Industries

Let us look at the sectors that will have the highest impact:

  • Textiles & Clothing: India is one of the largest suppliers of garments and fabrics to the US. From T-shirts to home linens — these goods are price-sensitive and rely on a low-cost advantage.
  • Gems & Jewellery: India exports large volumes of polished diamonds, gold jewellery, and other gems to the US.
  • Shrimp (Marine Exports): India is the world’s top shrimp exporter, and the US is the biggest market. Indian frozen shrimp is popular due to its low cost and reliable supply.
  • Leather and Footwear: India exports leather jackets, shoes, belts, and bags to the US. The sector is labour-intensive, with many small exporters.
  • Chemicals: India exports specialty chemicals, dyes, and pharma intermediates to the US. The sector is fast-growing and essential for global supply chains.

What Does a High Tariff Mean for the Stock Market?

If no negotiation happens and these tariffs continue, they are likely to have both direct and indirect effects on the Indian stock market. Let us look at the impacts:

1. Negative Impact on Export-Heavy Companies: When Indian exporters have to pay high tariffs, their goods become more expensive and less attractive in foreign markets. This leads to:

  • Fewer orders
  • Lower sales and profits
  • Falling stock prices of those companies

2. Sectoral Underperformance: Sectors that rely heavily on the US as a customer — like textiles, gems, shrimp, leather, and chemicals — may see lower valuations. Mutual funds or ETFs holding these stocks may also underperform.

3. Sentiment & FII Flows: High tariffs can hurt investor sentiment, especially if they signal worsening India–US trade relations. Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) may reduce exposure to India, fearing lower earnings from impacted sectors. Market volatility can rise, especially in export or manufacturing indices.

What Should Investors Do?

Right now, the market is going through a challenging phase, but smart investors could see this as a good opportunity. If the market falls more than 5% from here, it might be a chance to buy quality stocks at cheaper prices because, overall, company earnings are not badly affected yet.

In the short term, markets may remain weak due to uncertainty, so it is essential to stay careful. Don’t rush.

Your investment choices should match your risk level and how long you're planning to stay invested. For long-term investors, the bigger picture still looks positive. India’s economy is still growing, especially in sectors like IT, pharma, and electronics, and these sectors haven’t been affected by the new tariffs.

If the market falls suddenly, it could actually be a chance to invest more in stocks, because the country’s long-term growth story remains strong. With 21 days still left before the new tariffs are applied, markets may look uncertain right now, but investors who stay calm and think long term might benefit from future growth.

Disclaimer: ICICI Securities Ltd.( I-Sec). Registered office of I-Sec is at ICICI Securities Ltd. - ICICI Centre, H. T. Parekh Marg, Churchgate, Mumbai - 400020, India, Tel No : 022 - 2288 2460, 022 - 2288 2470.  The contents herein above shall not be considered as an invitation or persuasion to trade or invest.  Investments in securities market are subject to market risks, read all the related documents carefully before investing. I-Sec and affiliates accept no liabilities for any loss or damage of any kind arising out of any actions taken in reliance thereon. The contents are solely for informational and educational purpose.

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