- 15 Sep 2022
- ICICIdirect Research
Ceat management remains cautiously optimistic on demand, margin improvement
CEATLTD - 2883 Change: 24.85 (0.87 %)News:
Leading tyre company Ceat concluded its investor meet yesterday. Key takeaways are (i) Demand traction is witnessed more on the OEM front with replacement segment being steady, (ii) passenger vehicle segment is witnessing robust demand recovery amideasing chip supply issues while it is gradually improving MoM in the CV space, (iii) on the export markets front, demand is sluggish in its key markets like Europe and Indonesia, (iv) key RM prices have corrected from their highs and have stabilised now with margins slated to improve from Q3FY23 onwards with the initial endeavour to regain margins in the double digit trajectory of 10-12%, (v) peak revenue potential is pegged at ~Rs 11,500 crore in FY23E and ~Rs 13,000 crore in FY24E, (vi) Debt/EBDITA target is at 50% market share.
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The management remained cautiously optimistic on the demand scenario with OEM demand leading the charge, which is margin dilutive in nature. A decline in key raw material prices like natural rubber and crude is a solace with benefits slated to accrue from H2FY23. With peak revenues in FY24E, near double digit operating margins and no meaningful debt reduction underway over FY23E-24E, the company is now trading in line with its key peers in the domestic tyre space at ~6x EV/EBITDA on FY24E.
Impact:
Neutral.