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  • CMP : 3,770.8 Chg : 5.70 (0.15%)
  • Target : 1,730.0 (17.29%)
  • Target Period : 12-18 Month

28 Sep 2022

Curatio acquisition to strengthen branded portfolio…

About The Stock

 Incorporated in 1959, Torrent remains a key play in branded generics (~60% of sales) with a strong India franchise and growing exports traction.

  • Revenues: India & CRAMs (57%), Brazil (9%), US (13%) and Germany (11%)
  • Torrent is the eighth largest domestic player and is ranked in top 10 for CVS, CNS, V&M, GI and anti-diabetes therapies in India
Event: Acquisition of Curatio Healthcare
  • The company is set to acquire 100% of Curatio Healthcare for ₹ 2000 crore. The consideration includes ₹ 115 crore of cash and cash equivalents in the acquired business indicating an enterprise value of ₹ 1,885 crore
  • Curatio has a strong presence in the cosmetic dermatology segment with a portfolio of over 50 brands, marketed in India. Top 10 brands of Curatio account for ~75% of total revenue. With this deal, Torrent Pharma will enter the league of top 10 players in the dermatology segment and will be the leader in the cosmetic dermatology space
  • Curatio reported revenues of ₹ 224 crore in FY22 and is expected to post
    ₹ 275 crore revenue in FY23, thus valuing the deal at 8.4x and 6.9x FY22 and FY23E EV/sales, respectively
What should Investors do?

Torrent’s share price grew 1.8x over past three years.

  • We maintain BUY rating on the stock despite the steep valuation of this deal due to 1) gap filling in dermatology with differentiated and growing portfolio and 2) track record of the company for faster integration and turnaround of acquired assets in the domestic space. Additionally, we expect near term margin dilution in H2FY23 due to this deal to be largely offset by back-ended synergy and integration benefits
Target Price and Valuation

Valued at ₹ 1730 i.e. 37x P/E on FY24E EPS of ₹ 46.7 

Key Triggers for future price performance
  • Integration of Curatio’s brands along with 600 MRs and 900 stockists for focused approach in cosmetic and paediatric dermatology
  • In India, Torrent has expanded field strength by 300 to 4,200 MRs. Also, it forayed into the fast growing trade generic segment for acute therapies
  • Torrent has a good presence in Brazil and expects traction for new launches in branded space while Germany tender wins will be key in H2FY23
  • Awaiting clearance for Dahej and Indrad facility from the USFDA. New launches are key to offsetting persisting price erosion in business
Alternate Stock Idea

Apart from Torrent, in healthcare coverage we like Cipla

  • Cipla has long-drawn strategy of targeting four verticals viz. One-India, South Africa & EMs, US generics & specialty and lung leadership
  • BUY with a target price of ₹ 1135

       

Key Financial Summary

Particulars FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 5 year CAGR_(FY17-22) FY23E FY24E 2 Year CAGR (FY22-FY24E)
Revenues 7,776.0 7,939.0 8,005.0 8,508.0 7.8 9,590.7 10,819.2 12.8
EBITDA 2,087.0 2,170.0 2,480.0 2,431.0 12.0 2,880.8 3,232.3 15.3
EBITDA margins (%) 26.8 27.3 31.0 28.6 - 30.0 29.9 -
Net Profit 828.4 1,025.0 1,252.0 1,084.4 -3.6 1,354.4 1,580.4 20.7
EPS (|) 24.5 30.3 37.0 32.0 - 40.0 46.7 -
PE (x) 92.6 48.7 39.9 64.2 - 40.6 31.6 -
EV to EBITDA (x) 26.3 25.4 21.8 21.9 - 18.8 16.3 -
Price to book (x) 10.6 10.3 8.6 8.4 - 7.3 6.2 -
RoNW (%) 17.5 21.2 21.4 18.2 - 19.8 19.7 -
RoCE (%) 14.2 15.4 17.6 19.7 - 19.1 21.4 -
Source: Company, ICICI Direct Research

Key takeaways

Curatio Acquisition: Opportunity to enhance presence in dermatology

  • Curatio has a strong presence in the cosmetic/paediatric dermatology segment with a portfolio of over 50 brands (79% chronic/sub-chronic), marketed in India. Curatio’s portfolio consists of leading brands such as Tedibar, Atogla, Spoo, B4 Nappi, and Permite, which are ranked among top five brands in their covered market
  • Curatio’s revenues has grown at a CAGR of 13% over FY20-22 and is expected to grow 23% in FY23 to | 275 crore. Top three and 10 brands contribute ~50% and 75% of the total sales, respectively
  • Dermatology accounts for 95% of Curatio’s revenues. Within dermatology, cosmetic dermatology is a leading contributor with 84% share while other 16% is from medical derma. Over the last decade, cosmetic dermatology as a therapy has delivered an 18% CAGR, which is 1.6x of the IPM CAGR. Cosmetic dermatology is more a specialist focus business with 62% dermatologist contribution in total Rx, matching Torrent’s current DNA
  • Torrent’s existing rank in Derma is 21 with ~| 120 crore business. Curatio offers specialised cosmetics and paediatrician dermatology, led by Tedibar with | 76 crore sales in FY22 and growing at 25%. Torrent and Curatio’s overlap is limited to ~10%. The company has also ensured supply extension of current manufacturing arrangements for three years
  • Curatio deal has opened the opportunity for Torrent to access OTx market through India’s leading baby product brand Tedibar; Spoo and Atogla
  • EBITDA margins of Curatio are slightly lower than Torrent’s domestic margin but in line with Torrent’s consolidated margins. However, the management is confident of bringing the margins to Torrent’s domestic business. Curatio’s FY22 EBITDA was | 60 crore, (EBITDA margins ~27%). EBITDA margins are likely to inch up due to better operating leverage
  • The deal is likely to be funded with about 15% from internal accruals while about 85% will be raised through debt

Disclaimer

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