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Star Health & Allied Insurance Company Ltd>
  • CMP : 566.0 Chg : -2.50 (-0.44%)
  • Target : 825.0 (17.19%)
  • Target Period : 12-18 Month

04 May 2022

Promising outlook going ahead

About The Stock

Star Health is the largest standalone insurer engaged in health insurance segment with relatively superior market share, operating performance.

  • Star Health is a market leader in the retail health insurance segment with ~33% market share, as of March 2022
  • Star Health has 807 branches and 12000+ network hospitals, with a presence in 25 states and five union territories
Q4FY22

Star Health reported continuance of healthy premium growth.

  • GWP up 13% YoY and 36% QoQ to ₹ 3689 crore, NWP up 32.6% YoY
  • Claims down 32.5% QoQ to ₹ 1784 crore, commission up 41% QoQ
  • Underwriting loss at ₹ 217 crore vs. a loss of ₹ 1292 crore YoY
  • Combined ratio (as reported) at 98.4% vs. 135.7% QoQ
  • Net loss was at ₹ 82 crore vs. a loss of ₹ 956 crore YoY
What should Investors do?

Star Health is expected to maintain its leadership in retail health segment with sustainable long term growth opportunity. Premium growth at ~20-23% CAGR & focus on underwriting profit is seen keeping RoE ahead of peers.

  • We maintain BUY rating on the stock
Target Price Valuation

We value Star Health at ~2.6x FY24E GDPI (53x FY24E EPS) at ₹ 825, considering two metrics - price to premium (GWP) and price to float

Key Triggers for future price performance
  • Under penetration & lower density provides long term growth opportunity
  • Market leadership to sustain with new product launches & inching up customer sum assured
  • Continued focus on strengthening agency channel along with digital & banca tie ups to boost business growth. Increasing hospital network to keep a tab on claims coupled with better customer experience
  • Subsiding of Covid claims to boost profitability & solvency
Alternate Stock Ideas

Apart from Star Health, we like HDFC Life Insurance.

  • It is among the most dominant players in the Indian life insurance industry
  • BUY with target price of ₹670

Key Financial Summary

  FY20 FY21 FY22 3 year CAGR
(FY19-FY22)
FY23E FY24E 2 year CAGR
(FY22-FY24E)
Gross written premium (GWP) 6890.7 9388.5 11739.6 29.4 14847.0 18564.0 25.8
Net Incurred Claims 3087.4 4369.5 8727.5 56.0 8659.5 10335.3 8.8
Underwriting Profit/Loss 168.4 (1331.8) (2127.2) NA 162.6 426.8 NA
Profit after Tax 272.0 (825.6) (1203.6) NA 632.6 889.6 NA
NWP/Net Worth (x) 3.2 1.7 1.8   2.2 2.7  
Price/Float (x) 0.9 0.6 0.4   0.3 0.3  
P/GWP (x) 0.6 0.4 0.3   0.3 0.2  
P/E (x) 151.5 (49.9) (34.3)   65.5 46.6  

Terms & conditions and other disclosures

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I/We, Kajal Gandhi, CA, Vishal Narnolia, MBA and Sameer Sawant, MBA Research Analysts Research Analysts, authors and the names subscribed to this report, hereby certify that all of the views expressed in this research report accurately reflect our views about the subject issuer(s) or securities. We also certify that no part of our compensation was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendation(s) or view(s) in this report. It is also confirmed that above mentioned Analysts of this report have not received any compensation from the companies mentioned in the report in the preceding twelve months and do not serve as an officer, director or employee of the companies mentioned in the report.                

 

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