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Shaily Engineering Plastics Ltd>
  • CMP : 636.8 Chg : 4.35 (0.69%)
  • Target : 1,810.0 (11.18%)
  • Target Period : 12-18 Month

16 Nov 2022

Mixed bag performance…

About The Stock

Shaily Engineering is into manufacturing high precision injection moulded plastic components and finished goods in home furnishing, healthcare, toys, personal care and automotive components.

  • Export revenue contributed ~78% to the topline in H1FY23 while the rest came from the domestic business for Shaily
  • The company’s biggest clients include a Swedish furnishing major, which contributes ~55% to the topline
Q2FY23 Results

Delay in price hikes restricted EBITDA margin expansion.

  • Revenue grew 10.5% YoY to ₹ 160 crore led by 14% volume growth. Volume growth was mainly led by execution of orders in the home furnishing and healthcare segments
  • The EBITDA margin remained flat on a YoY basis at 15.2%, due to a delay in passing on of high raw material costs
  • PAT declined ~10% YoY to ~ ₹ 9.4 crore tracking high depreciation and interest expenses
What should Investors do?

Shaily Engineering’s share price has grown by ~2.4x over five years (from ~₹ 678 in November 2017 to ~₹ 1628 levels in November 2022).

  • We maintain our HOLD rating on the stock
Target Price and Valuation

We value Shaily at ₹ 1810 i.e. 25x on FY24E EPS

Key Triggers for future price performance
  • The company envisaged ~₹ 200 crore of capex plans for FY22E-24E to ramp up capacity in toys, healthcare and home furnishings
  • New client additions will help drive healthcare segment revenue to 2-3x in the next three to five years. The company has added two new clients in the toy segment (Spin Master, Hasbro)
  • Incremental sales of high margin products (like healthcare) will help drive EBITDA margins for the company
Alternate Stock Idea

We like Supreme Industries in our coverage universe.

  • Supreme is market leader in the plastic piping segment with ~15% market share. Robust b/s with average RoE, RoCE of 24%, 27%, respectively
  • BUY with a target price of ₹ 2600

Key Financial Summary

| Crore FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 5Year CAGR (FY17-22) FY23E FY24E 2Year CAGR (FY22-24E)
Net Sales 338.3 336.0 360.6 565.9 18.0 659.6 817.1 20.0
EBITDA 52.6 58.1 59.6 81.0 15.0 95.0 130.7 27.0
EBITDA Margin (%) 15.6 17.3 16.5 14.3 - 14.4 16.0 -
Reported PAT 19.3 23.6 22.0 35.1 17.0 40.3 66.7 38.0
EPS (|) 23.2 28.4 26.5 38.3 - 44.0 72.7 -
P/E 70.2 57.4 61.5 42.5 - 37.0 22.4 -
P/BV (x) 9.9 8.5 7.4 4.1 - 3.7 3.2 -
Mcap/Sales (x) 4.4 4.4 4.1 2.6 - 2.3 1.8 -
RoCE (%) 16.2 14.2 10.8 11.4 - 12.3 16.7 -
RoNW (%) 14.2 14.8 12.1 9.6 - 10.1 14.3 -
Source: Company, ICICI Direct Research

Key takeaways of recent quarter & conference call highlights

Key takeaways of recent quarter & conference call highlights

Q2FY23 Results: Production ramp up drives volume growth; EBITDA margin remains flat

  • Standalone revenue increased ~10.5% YoY to | 160 crore, supported by ~14% volume growth in Q2FY23. Volume growth was driven by execution of existing orders across segments. On a three-year basis, revenue grew at a CAGR of ~26% led by 15% volume growth in the same period
  • Gross margin declined 228 bps YoY (250 bps QoQ) mainly due to a delay in passing on of raw material prices. However, savings in other costs helped EBITDA margins to remain flat on a YoY basis at 15.2%
  • Increased depreciation and higher interest outgo dragged PAT by ~10% YoY to | 9.4 crore

Q2FY23 Earnings Conference Call highlights

Demand Outlook:

  • The management expects subdued demand in the home furnishings and toys segment as a result of geopolitical conditions. Demand was especially muted in North America and Europe
  • The toys segment is under pressure as there was a 25% drop in global demand while Chinese manufacturers are selling these products at significantly low prices, which the management believes is not sustainable in the long term
  • On the carbon steel front, the company is seeing a slower offtake as a result of muted demand from the Swedish home furnishings major. The utilisation levels have gone down in Q2FY23 compared to Q1FY23
  • Shaily is working with its existing and new customers to increase its business in the home furnishings, toys and carbon steel business
  • The company is further deepening its foray in the healthcare segment as the segment is the second largest contributor to its overall revenue
  • Shaily is scaling up its healthcare business in FY23 with scale up of two of its injector pens (IP) namely P60 pen, which is the insulin variant of its Protean pen and Teriparatide pen, which is a fixed dose pen injector. For one of these products, the company expects to receive approval in January 2023 for commercialisation in US markets while the other product is already serving the Middle East market. These pens are expected to contribute to the healthcare segment revenue significantly
  • The company displayed one of its new high value pens in CPHI exhibition where it received good traction. The management sees an opportunity of 2.5 lakh pens for the coming few years. From 2026 onwards, the management expects to see the real benefit from these pens with an opportunity of 1 million pens a year
  • The management expects majority of its growth to come from the healthcare business in the next few years
  • On the automotive and engineering front, the company has started commercialising its products and expects ramp up in the current year

Margins:

  • The company expects its gross margins to improve in coming quarters as a result of passing on price revisions
  • EBITDA margins are expected to be driven by increased volume offtake and higher revenue from the healthcare segment

Capex:

  • The company spent | 45 crore in H1FY23 of its envisaged | 125 crore capex for the healthcare business. The remaining amount will be partly spent in FY23 and partly in FY24
  • The management reiterated | 200 crore capex in the next two years

Disclaimer

ANALYST CERTIFICATION

I/We, Sanjay Manyal, MBA (Finance), Hitesh Taunk, MBA (Finance) and Ashwi Bhansali, MBA Research Analysts, authors and the names subscribed to this report, hereby certify that all of the views expressed in this research report accurately reflect our views about the subject issuer(s) or securities. We also certify that no part of our compensation was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendation(s) or view(s) in this report. It is also confirmed that above mentioned Analysts of this report have not received any compensation from the companies mentioned in the report in the preceding twelve months and do not serve as an officer, director or employee of the companies mentioned in the report.

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