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Neogen Chemicals Ltd>
  • CMP : 1,386.0 Chg : 26.85 (1.98%)
  • Target : 1,535.0 (18.53%)
  • Target Period : 12-18 Month

20 Feb 2023

Growth momentum maintained; focus on new capex

About The Stock

Commencing operations in 1991, Neogen Chemicals manufactures specialty organic bromine-based chemical compounds as well as specialty inorganic lithium-based chemicals compounds.

  • The company’s products find application in pharmaceutical intermediates, agrochemical intermediates, engineering fluids, polymers additives and water treatment chemicals, to name a few
  • Neogen has two segments viz. (i) organic chemicals, (ii) inorganic chemicals of which organic chemical constitute ~80% of overall revenue while the rest comes from inorganic chemicals
Q3FY23

Numbers were marginally in line with our estimates on the revenue front while EBITDA came in below estimates due to lower GPM.

  • Reported revenue growth of 40% YoY to ₹ 186.3 crore, led by higher growth from both organic chemicals ₹ 136 crore (up 29% YoY) and inorganic chemicals ₹ 50.3 crore (up 86% YoY)
  • Gross margins fell 91 bps YoY to 43.2% while EBITDA margin declined 177 bps YoY to 16.2%. Absolute EBITDA was up 27% YoY to ₹ 30.1 crore
  • PAT increased 41% YoY to ₹ 14.8 crore
What should Investors do?

The stock appreciated at 48.7% CAGR in the last three years.

  • We retain BUY rating on the back of better growth outlook from both organic and inorganic segments and foray into battery chemicals, tracking capex and visibility
Target Price and Valuation

We value Neogen Chemicals at 34x P/E FY25E EPS to arrive at a revised target price of ₹ 1535/share (earlier ₹ 1680/share).

Key Triggers for future price performance
  • Phase 1 and Phase 2 capex at Dahej bodes well for advance intermediates and custom synthesis revenue growth
  • Greenfield expansion of electrolyte and specialty lithium salts for dedicated battery materials to aid revenue growth
  • Allocation of incremental FCF towards organic/inorganic growth likely to expand return ratios further

Apart from Neogen Chemicals, in our chemical coverage we also like SRF.

  • Trigger for SRF future revenue growth would be increasing specialty chemical business
  • BUY with a target price of ₹ 2550

Key Financial Summary

Particulars FY20 FY21 FY22 5 Year CAGR(FY17-FY22) FY23E FY24E FY25E 3 Year CAGR (FY22-FY25E)
Net Revenue 306.1 336.4 487.3 32.0 704.4 901.6 1,241.9 36.6
EBITDA 58.1 64.4 86.6 34.1 128.2 166.8 229.7 38.4
EBITDA Margins (%) 19.0 19.1 17.8 - 18.2 18.5 18.5 -
Adj.PAT 28.6 31.3 44.6 42.2 70.4 87.8 112.6 36.2
Adj. EPS (₹) 12.3 13.4 17.9 - 28.2 35.2 45.2 -
EV/EBITDA 54.3 50.1 38.1 - 26.9 21.5 14.1 -
P/E 105.5 96.4 72.4 - 45.9 36.8 28.7 -
ROE (%) 18.3 17.1 10.2 - 14.0 15.0 16.3 -
ROCE (%) 18.4 15.1 12.0 - 15.4 14.8 14.1 -
Source: Company, ICICI Direct Research

Disclaimer

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