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IndusInd Bank Ltd>
  • CMP : 1,446.4 Chg : -49.70 (-3.32%)
  • Target : 1,150.0 (17.59%)
  • Target Period : 12-18 Month

02 May 2022

Growth momentum continues to be healthy

About The Stock

IndusInd Bank is a Hinduja group promoted newer age private sector bank and is the fifth largest private bank in India.

  • Vehicle finance forms around 26% of overall loans
  • Strong pan-India presence with 5876 branches as on March 2022
Q4FY22

Q4FY22 Results: IndusInd Bank reported a healthy performance.

  • GNPA down 21 bps QoQ to 2.27%. Restructured book down 70 bps to 2.6%
  • Total loan related provisions declined to 3.5% vs. 3.7% QoQ
  • Loan growth up 12.4% YoY and microfinance picked up with 18% YoY while deposits were up 15% YoY
  • NII up 12.7% YoY, NIMs improved QoQ to 4.2%, PAT at ₹ 1361 crore
What should Investors do?

IndusInd Bank’s share price has gained ~1.8x in the past 18 months. We believe the bank will show improved business traction with corporate book adding to the momentum.

  • We retain our BUY rating on the stock
Target Price Valuation

Target Price and Valuation: We value the bank at ~1.6x FY24E ABV and maintain a target price of ₹ 1150 per share.

Key Triggers for future price performance
  • Focus on domain segments & new launch to keep business growth healthy
  • Healthy provision cover & lower slippages to aid earnings momentum
  • Healthy NIM, control on opex, moderation in slippages with adequate capital adequacy to boost return ratios ahead
New Stock Ideas

Besides IndusInd, in our coverage we also like Axis Bank.

  • Strong liability profile with healthy capitalisation makes the bank well placed to accrue earnings growth momentum. Healthy provision cover provides comfort on smoother earnings trajectory
  • BUY with target price of ₹ 970

Key Financial Summary

| Crore FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 3 year CAGR
(FY19-FY22)
FY23E FY24E 2 year CAGR (FY22-24E)
NII 8,846 12,059 13,528 15,001 19% 17,121 19,405 14%
PPP 8,088 10,773 11,727 12,839 17% 14,169 15,663 10%
PAT 3,301 4,418 2,836 4,611 12% 6,371 7,814 30%
ABV (|)             405             473             542             589               612             699  
P/E            17.9            15.4            26.7            16.4              11.9              9.7  
P/ABV              2.4              2.1              1.8              1.7                1.6              1.4  
RoA              1.3              1.5              0.8              1.2                1.5              1.6  
RoE            13.1            14.4              7.3            10.1              13.1            15.1  

 

Variance Table 

  Q4FY22 Q4FY22E Q4FY21 YoY (%) Q3FY22 QoQ (%) Comments
NII 3,985 3,878 3,535 12.7 3,794 5.1 Growth aided by business traction 
NIM (%) 4.20 4.15 4.13 7 bps 4.10 10 bps Margins improvement due to reduction in CoD
Other Income 1,902 2,032 1,780 6.8 1,877 1.3 Core fee up 9% YoY
               
Net Total Income 5,887 5,911 5,315 10.8 5,670 3.8  
Staff cost 659 632 595 10.7 620 6.2  
Other Operating Expenses 1,900 1,882 1,658 14.6 1,845 3.0 uptick in business activities and investment increased opex 
               
PPP 3,329 3,396 3,062 8.7 3,205 3.9  
Provision 1,464 1,603 1,866 -21.6 1,654.1 -11.5 12% QoQ decline in gross credit cost
PBT 1,865 1,793 1,196 56.0 1,551 20.2  
Tax Outgo 504 439 320 57.4 389.8 29.2  
PAT 1,361 1,353 875.95 55.4 1,161 17.2 Lower credit costs aid profits
               
Key Metrics              
GNPA 5,517 5,664 5,795 -4.8 5,779 -4.5  
NNPA 1,530 1,601 1,477 3.6 1,633 -6.3  
Credit book 2,39,052 2,39,307 2,12,595 12.4 2,28,583 4.6  
Deposit book 2,93,349 2,93,685 2,56,205 14.5 2,84,484 3.1 CASA rises 17% YoY

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