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Cochin Shipyard Ltd>
  • CMP : 1,101.1 Chg : 23.25 (2.16%)
  • Target : 340.0 (5.92%)
  • Target Period : 12-18 Month

28 May 2022

About The Stock

Cochin Shipyard (CSL) was incorporated in 1972 as a Government of India company, with the first phase of facilities coming online in 1982. Cochin Shipyard (CSL) is the largest shipbuilding and maintenance facility in India.  The yard has facilities to build vessels up to 1.1 lakh tons and repair vessels up to 1.25 lakh tons annually  CSL has secured shipbuilding orders from internationally renowned companies from Europe and the Middle East in the recent past

Q4FY22

: CSL reported decent Q4FY22 results.  Revenue for the quarter was at ₹ 1212.5 crore, up 12.2% YoY & 27.2% QoQ  Absolute EBIDTA came in at ₹ 296.3 crore, up 109.6% QoQ and 15% YoY. QoQ increase was due to low base  PAT was at ₹ 274.6 crore vs. ₹ 236.2 crore in Q4FY21 and ₹ 129.4 crores in Q3FY22

What should Investors do?

CSL has done well in the past but looking at the current scenario and management commentary FY23 looks muted for CSL.  We change our rating on the stock from BUY to HOLD

Target Price Valuation

We value CSL at ₹ 340 i.e. 8x PE (FY24E).

Key Triggers for future price performance

CSL investing in ship repairing facilities, which is a higher margin business, which is also expected to outperform ship building in growth  Healthy order book but margins remain under pressure due to higher raw material prices, mostly executed IAC project and longer execution cycle. The company received an order enquiry from Europe  No major order from the Indian Navy in coming quarters

New Stock Ideas

We also like NRB in our capital goods coverage.  It offers a play on needle roller bearings, which are largely used in auto applications  BUY with a target price of ₹ 220 per share

Q4FY22 Earnings Conference Call highlights

On the revenue front, the company guided a flattish FY23 while FY24 is expected to grow between 16% and 20%. Margins are expected to be in the range of 18-20%, mainly due to majority of execution in IAC, which is a higher margin project. Ship building to perform better in FY23  CSL delivered the second lot of three out of nine floating border outpost (FBOPs) vessels out of nine FBOPs being built for the Ministry of Home Affairs, Government of India  Delivered one mini bulk carrier of 8000 DWT to JSW Shipping & Logistics Pvt Ltd. The vessel named "JSW Manikgad" is the fourth and the final vessel in a series of four vessels built at CSL for JSW  New orders in Q4FY22 - CSL entered into a contract with HS Service GMBH & Co. KG to build eight HS eco freighter 7000 DWT vessels. Approximate value of the contract is | 750 crore. CSL signed contracts with Dredging Corporation of India (DCI) to build India’s largest dredger, 12,000 m3 trailing suction hopper dredger (TSHD), in collaboration with IHC Holland for an overall project cost of ~| 800 crore. CSL is also expected to have two more order for dredgers  Infra projects – For international ship repair facility (ISRF), overall physical completion of CME works is 78%. This was due to financial difficulties faced by the contractor appointed for ISRF project. The contract for construction works was eventually terminated on February 4, 2022. New dry-dock’s overall physical completion is 60%. Hooghly Cochin Shipyard Ltd (HCSL) at Howrah is now ready for operations. In Udupi Cochin Shipyard Ltd (UCSL) at Malpe, activities for operationalising are in progress  Current order book is at | 11260 crore, which is ~3.5x FY22 revenues. Most orders are to be executed in five to seven years. The company is positive on receiving orders from Europe, which includes green short range vessels  Raw material prices, which includes steel, copper and paint may result in pressure on margins

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