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Bandhan Bank Ltd>
  • CMP : 173.3 Chg : -0.55 (-0.32%)
  • Target : 365.0 (15.14%)
  • Target Period : 12-18 Month

16 May 2022

Rejuvenating performance

About The Stock

Bandhan Bank was incorporated in 2015 as the RBI granted a universal banking license. The bank has a strong presence in eastern and north-eastern India with MFI loans being its forte.

  • Total 63% of loans are from emerging enterprise business (EEB)
  • The bank has 1189 branches in 34 states, UTs & customer base of 2.6 crore
Q4FY22

 Improvement in asset quality boosted its overall results.

  • GNPA down 435 bps QoQ to 6.46%, EEB stress pool down ₹ 5100 crore QoQ
  • NII up 44.6% YoY, 19.5% QoQ, NIMs expand 90 bps QoQ to 8.7%
  • Provisions at mere ₹ 4.7 crore; PAT up 121% QoQ to ₹ 1902 crore
  • Loan growth at 14.1% YoY & 12.9% QoQ, while deposits up 23% YoY
What should Investors do?

Underperformance in stock price over past year was on account of uncertainties over asset quality. However, we believe with substantial improvement in the same along with better outlook should reflect positively.

  • We upgrade our rating on the stock from HOLD to BUY
Target Price Valuation

We value Bandhan Bank at ~2.6x FY24E ABV and assign target price to ₹ 365 per share

Key Triggers for future price performance
  • Healthy loan growth guidance with target of improving proportion of secured book remains positive
  • Sharp improvement in asset quality to benefit all other parameters; materialisation of estimated recoveries of ~₹ 5000 crore remains key
  • Benefits of rate hike in EEB to be fully witnessed from this year onwards. Hence, NIMs could see some improvement and, thus, boost income
New Stock Ideas

Besides Bandhan, in our coverage we also like HDFC Bank.

  • HDFC Bank is a leading private sector bank with consistent growth and operational performance over various cycles. The bank has maintained superior return ratios compared to its peers resulting in premium valuations
  • BUY with a target price of ₹ 1650

Key financial summary

  FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 3 year CAGR
(FY19-FY22)
FY23E FY24E 2 year CAGR
(FY22-24E)
NII 4496 6324 7563 8714 25% 10204 12235 18%
PPP 3748 5447 6855 8013 29% 9066 10739 16%
PAT 1951 3024 2205 126 -60% 3173 3589 434%
ABV (|) 92.0 91.9 90.3 97.7   117.8 140.1  
P/E  19.4 17.5 23.2 405.9   16.1 14.2  
P/ABV 3.4 3.4 3.5 3.2   2.7 2.3  
RoE (%) 19.0 22.1 13.5 0.7   16.9 16.5  
RoA (%) 3.9 3.9 2.1 0.1   2.1 2.0  

 

 

Variance table

  Q4FY22 Q4FY22E Q4FY21 YoY (%) Q3FY22 QoQ (%) Comments
NII 2,540 2,381 1,757 44.6 2,125 19.5 Strong growth aided by margin expansion
NIM (%) 8.7 7.8 6.8 190 bps 7.8 90 bps NIMs rise as asset quality improves
Other Income 964 748 700 37.7 712 35.4  
               
Net Total Income 3,504 3,129 2,457 42.6 2,837 23.5  
Staff cost 570 535 426 34.0 519 9.9  
Other Operating Expenses 412 383 389 6.1 368 12.1 Opex increase due to higher business activity
               
PPP 2,521.4 2,211.9 1,642.9 53.5 1,950.1 29.3  
Provision 4.7 828.6 1,507.7 -99.7 805.7 -99.4 Credit cost falls substatially with improvement in asset quality
PBT 2,516.7 1,383.3 135.2 1,761.8 1,144.4 119.9  
Tax Outgo 614.3 345.8 32.1 1,811.4 285.5 115.2  
PAT 1,902.3 1,037.5 103.0 1,746.4 859.0 121.5 Boosted by healthy top-line and lower provisions
               
Key Metrics              
GNPA 6,380 9,725 5,758 11 9,442 -32.4 Healthy recoveries reduce NPA levels
NNPA 1,564 2,723 2,861 -45 2,413 -35.2  
Advances (Gross) 99,340 97,485 87,040 14.1 87,998 12.9 Growth driven by Housing and EEB segment
Deposits 96,331 96,331 77,972 23.5 84,500 14.0  

Terms & conditions and other disclosures

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I/We, Kajal Gandhi, CA, Vishal Narnolia, MBA and Sameer Sawant, MBA Research Analysts Research Analysts, authors and the names subscribed to this report, hereby certify that all of the views expressed in this research report accurately reflect our views about the subject issuer(s) or securities. We also certify that no part of our compensation was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendation(s) or view(s) in this report. It is also confirmed that above mentioned Analysts of this report have not received any compensation from the companies mentioned in the report in the preceding twelve months and do not serve as an officer, director or employee of the companies mentioned in the report.                

 

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