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  • CMP : 2,293.4 Chg : -5.80 (-0.25%)
  • Buying Range : 2390-2425
  • Target : 2,730.0 (13.40%)
  • Stoploss : 0.0
  • Target Period : 3 Month

02 Aug 2022

Breakout above major supply line...

Balkrishna Industries weekly chart

TECHNICAL_INFOGRAPHIC_1
Technical Outlook
The auto space has been  outperforming in the last few months and has recently generated a breakout above the multi year consolidation. Within the auto ancillary space we remain constructive on Balkrishna Industries. The stock formed a major bottom during March 2022 and in the last four months is seen forming higher bottom around 52-week’s EMA (currently at ₹ 2152). In the current week it registered a breakout above the falling supply line joining highs since September 2021 signalling resumption of the up move
 
The stock, in the process, has also generated a breakout from its two months range (₹ 2375-2054) signalling strength
 
We expect the stock to continue its positive momentum and head towards ₹ 2730 in coming months as it is the confluence of the previous all-time high and 123.6% external retracement of the January-March 2022 decline (2537-1691)

Fundamental Outlook

Balkrishna Industries (BIL) is the market leader in the niche off-highway tyres (OHT) in export space, which is used primarily in agriculture (~66% of sales), mining and other allied activities. As of FY22, Europe and US combined form ~71% of sales while India constitutes ~18% of sales, with replacement accounting for ~69% of channel mix with OEM share pegged at ~28%
 
BIL stands apart from the rest of domestic tyre peers in areas of capital efficiency and strong b/s (net debt free). Its global cost leadership - a result of frugal engineering, backward integration and low manpower costs, helps the company exhibit hallmarks of anti-commodity behaviour i.e., consistent high double digit operating margins (~20%) & return ratios (~20%).
 
With an ambition to reach ~10% global market share in OHT segment in coming years vs. ~5-6% currently, BIL is executing impressive capex plan, which should result in healthy profitable and capital efficient growth, going forward. Going forward, we expect sales, PAT to grow at a CAGR of 21.1%, 18.9%, respectively, in FY22-24E. Early commissioning of brownfield capex (50,000 tonne) also bodes well for the company with sequential volume growth in the offering which was earlier constrained by capacity

Follow up summary of Gladiator Stocks

  • Total Recommendations: 100
  • Open: 5
  • Positive: 87
  • Strike Rate: 92%
  • Average return on positive calls: 18.0%
  • Average return on negative calls: -12.0%

Other product open recommendations

Date Product Scrip Name Market Strategy RP Target Stoploss Time Frame
01-Aug Momentum Pick Tata Chemical Cash Buy 939 1005 887 14 Days
01-Aug Momentum Pick Poonawala Fincorp Cash Buy 285 298 271 3 Days
01-Aug Momentum Pick Adani Ports Cash Buy 798 862 755 30 Days
26-Jul Momentum Pick Taj GVK Cash Buy 152 166 141 14 Days
20-Jul Momentum Pick FSL Cash Buy 110 116 105 Carried forward
01-Aug Gladiator Stocks Greaves Cotton Cash Buy 169 190 151 3 Months
01-Aug Gladiator Stocks Grindwell Norton Cash Buy 1872 2090 1690 3 Months
01-Aug Gladiator Stocks KSB Cash Buy 1495 1690 1370 3 Months
29-Jul Gladiator Stocks Cyient Cash Buy 821 940 758 3 Months
22-Jul Gladiator Stocks HDFC Cash Buy 2288 2520 2130 3 Months
21-Jul Gladiator Stocks Canara Bank Cash Buy 225 249 206 3 Months
19-Jul Gladiator Stocks TTK Prestige Cash Buy 891 992 824 3 Months
07-Jul Gladiator Stocks Phoenix Mill Cash Buy 1238 1420 1115 3 Months
Source: Company, ICICI Direct Research

Disclaimer

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