What does the Union Budget 2023 hold in store for investors?
The Union Budget is one of the most awaited events before the beginning of a financial year. As the date for the announcement of the Union Budget 2023 approaches, investors across the country are wondering how the proposals made by Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman will affect their investment activities. Continue reading to learn what investors can hope for from the Union Budget 2023.
What Can Investors Expect from the Union Budget 2023?
The year 2022 has proven to be volatile for the equity markets, especially due to the global geopolitical scenario. However, despite such headwinds, the Indian markets have persevered and outperformed their global peers considerably. The broader Indian equity indices hit their all-time high recently. This was followed by a minor correction and the investors now seem to be expecting a trigger for the market to continue its long-term upmove. The Union Budget for FY 2023-2024 may provide that much-needed boost.
The few key aspects that Indian investors should keep an eye on when it comes to the Union Budget 2023 are:
- The government’s actions towards financial consolidation
- The spending priorities on manufacturing incentives, subsidies, welfare, capex, etc.
- The government bond supply and how much the market can absorb
Apart from this, the government’s spending on infrastructure is also expected to be on the radar as it is key to boosting overall economic growth and increasing employment. The government’s capex budget in FY23 was a massive Rs 7.5 lakh crore. This year it is likely to rise which becomes necessary at a time when the private capex is muted.
In a similar vein, the railway, defence and capital goods sectors are also likely to receive support from the Budget, creating ample opportunities for investors. Additionally, the heightened focus on the real estate sector with the affordable housing scheme will boost the demand for allied industries like cement and steel. The increased focus on the national infrastructure pipeline (NIP) and the government’s capex will have a positive effect on the manufacturing, capital goods and infrastructure sector.
It is also being speculated that the Budget will aim towards striking a balance between macro stability and growth. Lastly, when it comes to taxation, experts are hoping to see a simplification of the capital gains tax system. It is being suggested that to reduce the disparity when it comes to the taxation of long-term and short-term capital gains tax. This could have a significant effect on how investment returns are taxed in the upcoming year.
Will There Be Any Surprises for Investors in the Union Budget 2023?
The Union Budget for FY 2023-2024 will be the last full budget of the present government before the general elections in 2024. Keeping that in mind, the government is expected to not go overboard in terms of introducing radical changes. Thus, many investors, companies, taxpayers, etc. are keeping their hopes and expectation high for this year’s Budget. It is speculated that the budget will be focused on growth rather than being a populist one.
The markets expect the budget to strike a balance between growth and macroeconomic stability. It is also expected that this will be in line with the government’s attempts to remain committed to growth and making India a $5 trillion economy with improving India’s position globally. Thus, the chances of investors being surprised by any drastic measures are on the lower end.
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