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Entry Price

2,064.00

Target

2,225.00

Recommend Date

05-02-2021

Return

7.80 %
BUY

Date : 05-02-2021

Astral’s Q3FY21 performance was better than our estimates on all front. This was led by strong pent demand in the piping segment from urban regions and a favourable base for adhesive segment. Consolidated revenue growth at 35% YoY was supported by ~33%, ~42% YoY growth in the piping and adhesive segments respectively. Standalone revenues (~77% of consolidated topline & mainly piping business) witnessed a notable growth of 33% led by ~15% volume growth. Besides, streamlining of distribution networks of adhesive business help drive consistent segment revenue growth (Q2FY21 was higher by 29%). This was also supported by launching of products along with dealer additions. The gross margin was down by ~154 basis mainly due to delay in price hikes and change in product mix. However, better operating leverage helped drive EBITDA margin up by ~360 bps YoY to ~21%. Management commentary suggests, a strong piping demand going forward supported by government thrust on Jal Jeevan Mission. That said, medium to long term piping segment volume growth for Astral is ~15%. This along with newly acquired water tank business would also start aiding to revenue growth from Q4FY21 onwards. The adhesive business revenue growth guidance at 20% would largely be supported by dealer expansion in new geographies. Company also sees long term EBITDA margin profile at 15%-16% Vs 9MFY21 EBITDA margin of 19%, with