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Comparison between Gold ETF and Gold Futures

15 Jan 2021 0 COMMENT

Gold ETF


A gold ETF is a commodity exchange-traded fund that can be used to gain exposure to the price increase in the gold. Gold ETFs trade on a stock exchange just like a normal stock or equity but derives its value from holding 'underlying assets' that is Gold.

Cost of Buying an ETF


Demat account charges on an annual basis.
Brokerage charges on both buying and selling.
Fund Management Expenses. This could be up to 1 % of the fund value. Lower the expenses, higher the return.

Gold Futures:

In the trading of futures, "rollover" refers to the process of closing out open positions in soon-to- expire contracts in favor of contracts with later expiration dates. Rollover is a key aspect of futures trading that must be accounted for, as it directly impacts the bottom line of the trading account.

In the process of rollover there is a rollover yield. A rollover yield could be positive or negative depending on market situation. In a backwardation market (where future price is lesser than current price), a rollover yield would be positive and in a contango market, the rollover yield would be negative. For e.g. current month expiry Gold Futures is trading at Rs 50,000 and next month at Rs 49,000. This is a backwardation market and a rollover cost would be positive. Futures contract of current month expiry would be closed(squared off) at Rs 50,000 and a position in next month Futures contract could be taken at Rs 49,000 (lesser price hence lesser margin requirement).

Rollover Yield would be calculated as :{( Next Month Futures Price-Current Month Futures Price)/ Current Month Futures Price} *100

If a Gold Futures is rolled over multiple times then there could be both positive and negative rollover yields at different rollovers.

In addition to roll-over yield there would be other charges in Futures Trading.

Overall cost of trading in Gold Futures could be enumerated as below: Broker Account opening charges, Demat account is not required, Cost of Margin Funding, Rollover Yield. Let’s understand Comparison between Gold ETF and Gold Futures on the basis of Return on Investment (ROI)

Return on Investment

 

Objective:

what would be the return if a position is taken in Gold ETF compared to Gold Futures with the same amount of money? A trader would be interested to know which option would provide better returns

 

Gold ETF

Gold Futures (Mini)

Initial Investment

100,000

100,000 (as margin, @10%)

Purchase Value

100,000

Rs 1,000,000 (Notional Value)

Quantity

20 gms (approx.)

200 gms

Price Movement (Tick Value in the case of Futures Contract)

@ Rs per 10 gms

@ Rs per 10 gms

Total Price Movement per 10 gms

Rs 1,000

Rs 1,000

ROI#

2% [{(1000/10)*20}/100,000]

20%

[{(1000/10)*200}/100,000]

Note: The above table is for illustration purpose only and should not considered as invitation to trade.

# Net ROI would be calculated by adjusting rollover yield and other charges like brokerage, etc.

In a scenario if price of the gold goes down by Rs 1,000 per 10 gms then the loss in terms of percentage in Gold ETF and Gold Futures would be same; i.e. by 2% in Gold ETF and 20% in Gold Futures. Reason that percentage loss or gain is higher in Gold Futures is that Futures allow leverage by paying margin amount and not the entire purchase value.

Gold Futures for Hedging

Gold Futures could be used as a hedging tool. Depending upon the scenario, an individual can either take a long or short position in Gold Futures to hedge against the unfavorable price movement; for example, if an individual has to buy approx. 100 gms gold after one month and the gold price is volatile then the individual could take a long position in Gold Futures (i.e. buy Gold Futures). Similarly, if a jeweler wants to lock in a price for a delivery expected after one month and the price is not fixed then the jeweler can hedge the adverse price movement by taking a short position in Gold Futures (i.e. sell Gold Futures)

Both Gold ETF and Futures contracts are used for trading and investment in gold. However, Gold Futures has advantages over Gold ETF in terms of ROI and can also be used for hedging. For more details on Commodity, visit our website www.icicidirect.com

About the author: Pankaj Agarwal is a part of Commodity and Currency team at ICICI Securities limited. He has more than a decade experience in Learning & Development in BFSI area also in financial product distribution and personal financial planning. The views expressed in the article are personal views of the author and do not necessarily represent the views of ICICI Securities.

Disclaimer:

ICICI Securities Ltd.( I-Sec). Registered office of I-Sec is at ICICI Securities Ltd. - ICICI Centre, H. T. Parekh Marg, Churchgate, Mumbai - 400020, India, Tel No : 022 - 2288 2460, 022 - 2288 2470. I-Sec is a Member of National Stock Exchange of India Ltd (Member Code :07730) and BSE Ltd (Member Code :103), MCX (Member Code: 56250) and having SEBI registration no. INZ000183631. Name of the Compliance officer (broking): Mr. Anoop Goyal, Contact number: 022-40701000, E-mail address: complianceofficer@icicisecurities.com. Investment in securities market are subject to market risks, read all the related documents carefully before investing. The contents herein above shall not be considered as an invitation or persuasion to trade or invest.  I-Sec and affiliates accept no liabilities for any loss or damage of any kind arising out of any actions taken in reliance thereon.