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Wipro Ltd>
  • CMP : 463.9 Chg : 5.25 (1.14%)
  • Target : 575.0 (12.97%)
  • Target Period : 12-18 Month

02 May 2022

Muted Q1FY23 revenue guidance…

About The Stock

Wipro is an IT, consulting & BPO player catering to BFSI, health, consumer, energy & utility, technology and communication.

  • With over 230000 employees, it serves clients across six continents
  • Consistent payout (~70%), healthy OCF to EBITDA ratio of ~89%
Q4FY22 Results

Wipro reported weak Q4 numbers.

  • Revenue growth of 3.1% QoQ in CC terms, 2.9%QoQ in dollar term
  • EBIT margins were down 60 bps QoQ to 17%
  • It closed 37 large deals, TCV of US$2.3 billion (bn) in FY22
What should Investors do?

Wipro’s share price has grown by ~2.8x over the past five years (from ~₹ 181 in April 2017 to ~₹ 509 levels in April 2022).

  • We revise our rating on the stock from BUY to HOLD
Target Price and Valuation

We value Wipro at ₹ 575 i.e. 21x P/E on FY24E EPS

Key Triggers for future price performance
  • The strategy of the new CEO to drive a turnaround in the company

 

  • Restructuring of organisation, client mining, aspiration to win one large deal every quarter to drive growth
 
  • Higher penetration in Europe, client mining, acquisition of new logos and traction digital revenues to further boost revenue growth
Alternate Stock Idea

Besides Wipro, in our IT coverage we also like TCS.

  • Strong organic growth, consistent financials, industry leading margins and healthy capital allocation policy prompt us to be positive on the stock
  • HOLD with a target price of ₹ 4,120

Key Financial Summary

Particulars FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 5 Year CAGR(FY17-FY22) FY23E FY24E 2 Year CAGR (FY22-FY24E)
Net Sales 58,051.6 61,340.1 62,242.5 79,098.6 7.5 89,163.7 98,865.3 11.8
EBITDA 11,937.7 12,658.9 15,070.6 17,119.7 8.4 18,586.6 20,783.8 10.2
EBITDA Margins (%) 20.6 20.6 24.2 21.6 - 20.8 21.0 -
Net Profit 9,003.1 9,721.8 10,794.6 12,219.1 7.6 13,458.9 15,056.3 11.0
EPS (|) 14.9 16.6 19.1 22.3 - 24.5 27.4 -
P/E 34.0 30.6 26.7 22.9 - 20.8 18.5 -
RoNW (%) 15.8 17.4 19.5 18.6 - 19.6 21.1 -
RoCE (%) 17.8 19.3 21.3 18.1 - 19.8 21.2 -
Source: Company, ICICI Direct Research

Key takeaways of recent quarter & conference call highlights

  • In constant currency, IT services business reported revenue growth of 3.1% QoQ to US$2721 million (mn) while CC growth was also at 3.1% for the quarter. Rupee revenues grew 2.9% QoQ to | 20,553 crore. IT products business reported decline of 32.2% QoQ to | 119.9 crore. Consolidated revenues grew 2.8% QoQ to | 20,755 crore
  • The growth in revenues in CC was led by BFSI (up 3.4% QoQ), consumer business unit (up 4.2% QoQ) and manufacturing (up 7.4%) while communications (down 1.2% QoQ), health (up 0.3% QoQ) and energy (up 1.8% QoQ) were laggards. In terms of geographies, growth was led by America, which grew 4.1%, followed by Europe (growth of 2.3% QoQ) while RoW reported decline of 0.3% QoQ
  • The company continue to hire aggressively as it added 11,457 employees in Q4, taking its headcount to 243,128. Net utilisation dipped 60 bps QoQ to 85.2% while attrition was up 110 bps to 23.8%. The company mentioned that on a quarterly annualised basis, attrition has come down by 500 bps. For FY22, it added 45,000 employees. The company is planning to double intake of freshers in FY23 compared to addition in FY22
  • Going forward, the company has given a tepid guidance of 1-3% QoQ CC growth in Q1FY23, which translates into revenues of US$2,748 mn to US$2803 mn. Wipro mentioned that there has been a structural change in deals in the market where clients are breaking large deals into medium deals, which is baked in this guidance
  • The company closed 37 large deals in FY22, resulting into TCV of large deals of US$2.3 bn. Customer count in >U$100 mn account moved from 11 to 19 and > US$50 mn account moved from 40 to 50 YoY in FY22
  • The management indicated that the demand environment continued to be strong, especially on the cloud side. The company expects revenues to grow in double digits in FY23. The management have not witnessed any impact of current geopolitical risks
  • Wipro reported 60 bps QoQ decline in IT services EBIT margins to 17%. The company maintained EBIT margin guidance of 17-17.5% for the medium term but also mentioned that margins would be under pressure for the next three to four quarters. The company mentioned that they have increased frequency of promotions for 70% of the employees to a quarterly basis
  • Wipro has signed a definitive agreement to acquire RIZING, a global SAP consulting firm. The purchase consideration for this acquisition is US$540 mn (2.7x price to sales). RIZING , headquartered in Stamford, US, has 20+ offices across North America, Europe, Asia and Australia. It has 1300+ employees with a presence in 16 countries. SAP Consulting capabilities include i) enterprise asset management for asset heavy industries like oil & gas, utilities, transportation & logistics, ii) leading provider of SAP retail & fashion suite for retail, iii) leading human capital management solutions partner in HR practices, payroll, employee engagement
 
Variance Analysis
 
   Q4FY22   Q4FY22E   Q4FY21   YoY (%)   Q3FY22   QoQ (%)  Comments
Revenue 20,755 20,740 16,245 27.8 20,198 2.8 Revenue was up 3.1% QoQ in CC terms, BFSI, manufacturing, consumer have reported growth while communication and health were lagarads
Employee expenses 14,797 14,719 10,981 34.8 14,278 3.6  
               
Gross Margin 5,958 6,021 5,265 13.2 5,920 0.6  
Gross margin (%) 28.7 29.0 32.4 -370 bps 29.3 -60 bps  
Selling & marketing costs 1,408 1,443 1,068 31.8 1,399 0.6  
G&A expenses 1,249 1,219 869 43.7 1,204 3.7  
EBITDA 4,144 4,210 4,116 0.7 4,184 -0.9  
EBITDA Margin (%) 20.0 20.3 25.3 -537 bps 20.7 -75 bps  
Depreciation 735 730 699 5.0 746 -1.5  
EBIT 3,410 3,480 3,417 -0.2 3,438 -0.8  
EBIT Margin (%) 16.4 16.8 21.0 -460 bps 17.0 -59 bps IT services EBIT margins declined 60bps QoQ
Other income 223 218 333 -33.0 218 2.5  
PBT 3,633 3,697 3,749 -3.1 3,655 -0.6  
Tax paid 640 820 776 -17.5 806 -20.6  
PAT 3,087 2,873 2,972 3.9 2,969 4.0 PAT was aided by lower than expected tax

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I/We, Sameer Pardikar, MBA, Research Analysts, authors and the names subscribed to this report, hereby certify that all of the views expressed in this research report accurately reflect our views about the subject issuer(s) or securities. We also certify that no part of our compensation was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendation(s) or view(s) in this report. It is also confirmed that above mentioned Analysts of this report have not received any compensation from the companies mentioned in the report in the preceding twelve months and do not serve as an officer, director or employee of the companies mentioned in the report.

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Pankaj Pandey

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pankaj.pandey@icicisecurities.com

 

 

ICICI Direct Research Desk,

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Road No 7, MIDC,

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