| Trading in
derivative products is largely viewed as speculative, and why not? When most position are
built around just the view of the trader. However, if the traders market
outlook were faulty, the position would result in huge losses. A Delta-neutral strategy is
a strategy by which you one make money without having to forecast the direction of the
market.
The delta of an option is the rate of
change in an option's price relative to a one-unit change in the price of the underlying
asset. So, for example, if a call option has a delta of 0.35 and the price increases by
one Re, the option's price should increase by 35 paise.
In the example above, the option has a
delta of 0.35. Traders and brokers refer to that as "35 deltas." Simply multiply
the delta by 100 to make it a percentage. However, make sure you understand that "35
deltas" really means 0.35.
For the purpose of our discussion, whenever
we mention the delta of an option, we are referring to the actual decimal value because
that is what's actually used in all mathematical models.
What exactly is Delta Neutral?
The term "Delta Neutral" refers
to any strategy where the sum of your deltas is equal to zero. So, for instance, if you
buy 10 call options, each having a delta of 0.60 and you also buy 20 put options, each
having a delta of -0.30 you have the following:
...(10 x 0.60) + (20 x -0.30) = 6.00 +
-6.00 = 0
Your position delta (total delta) is zero,
which means you are delta neutral.
The technique you are about to learn, is
just one application of delta neutral. It is a general trading approach that is used by
some of the largest and most successful trading firms. It allows you to make money without
having to forecast the direction of the market. You can use it on any market (stocks,
futures, whatever), just as long as options are available and ... the market is moving. It
doesn't matter whether or not the market is trending, but it won't work if the market is
really flat. The principle behind delta neutral is based upon the way an option's delta
changes as the option moves further into or out of the money.
Consider the following example:
| Statistical
Volatility |
25% |
| Option
Strike Price |
100 |
| Days
remaining |
30 |
| Price of underlying |
Call Option |
Put Option |
Delta of underlying |
| 80 |
0.0013 |
-0.9987 |
1.0000 |
| 85 |
0.0148 |
-0.9852 |
1.0000 |
| 90 |
0.0843 |
-0.9157 |
1.0000 |
| 95 |
0.2668 |
-0.7332 |
1.0000 |
| 100 |
0.5371 |
-0.4629 |
1.0000 |
| 105 |
0.7805 |
-0.2195 |
1.0000 |
| 110 |
0.9226 |
-0.0774 |
1.0000 |
| 115 |
0.9795 |
-0.0205 |
1.0000 |
| 120 |
0.9958 |
-0.0042 |
1.0000 |
You will notice the following
characteristics of an option's delta:
- The absolute value of the delta increases as the option goes
further in-the-money and decreases as the option goes out-of-the-money.
- At-the-money call and put options have a delta that is right
around 0.50 and -0.50 respectively.
- Put options have a negative delta, which means if the price
of an asset goes up, the price of a put option on that asset goes down.
- Deep in-the-money call options have a delta that approaches
+1.00. Conversely, deep in-the-money put options have a delta that approaches -1.00.
- Deep out-of-the-money calls and puts have deltas that
approach zero.
- The delta of the underlying asset itself always remains
constant at 1.00.
All of the deltas mentioned above assume
that you are buying the options or the underlying asset, that is, you have a long
position. If instead, you sold the options or the asset, establishing a short position,
all of the deltas would be reversed. So, in the example above, if you sold a call option
with a strike price of 100, and the price of the underlying asset was 110, the delta would
be 0.9226 x -1 = -0.9226.
If you short the underlying, the delta would be -1.0
instead of +1.0.
Keeping all of this in mind, we can construct the
following delta neutral trade:
| Stock
futures price |
110 |
| Statistical
Volatility |
8% |
| Option
Strike Price |
110 |
| Days
remaining |
30 |
| Price of underlying |
Option Theoretical price |
Option delta |
| 108 |
2.14 |
-0.73 |
| 109 |
1.43 |
-0.58 |
| 110 |
0.91 |
-0.42 |
| 111 |
0.53 |
-0.28 |
| 112 |
0.28 |
-0.16 |
- Buy 2 stock futures at 110
- Buy 5 put options (110 strike price) at 0.91 each
| Delta of
futures |
2 x 1.00 |
= -2.00 |
| Delta of put
options |
5 x -0.42 |
= -2.10 |
| Total
position delta |
2.00 + -2.10 |
= -0.10 |
How it works:
If the futures increase from 110 up to 112:
Profit = 2 x 2.00 = 4.00
The put options will decrease from 0.91 down to 0.28 (each)
Loss on put options = 5 x (0.91 - 0.28) = 5 x 0.63 = 3.15
Net profit = 4.00 - 3.15 = 0.85
If the futures price decreases from 110 down to
108:
Loss = 2 x 2.00 = 4.00
The put options will increase from 0.91 up to 2.14 (each)
Profit on put options = 5 x (2.14 - 0.91) = 5 x 1.23 = 6.15
Net profit = 6.15 - 4.00 = 2.15
We can summarize this delta neutral
approach as follows:
If you buy the underlying
and buy put options so your position is delta neutral:
- When the market goes up, you have a profit on the underlying
and you have a smaller loss on the options (because their delta decreased), so you wind up
with a net profit.
- When the market goes down, you have a loss on the underlying
but you have a bigger profit on the options (because their delta increased), so again you
have a net profit.
If you
sell (short) the underlying and buy call options so your position is delta neutral:
- When the market goes up, you have a loss on the underlying
but again you have a bigger profit on the options (their delta increased), so you have a
net profit.
- When the market goes down, you have a profit on the
underlying but once again, you have a smaller loss on the options (their delta decreased),
so you still have a net profit.
When you do this kind of delta neutral trading, you need to
follow a few rules:
- Always initiate the position with a total position delta of
zero or as close to zero as possible. So, your starting position is "delta
neutral."
- When the market moves enough so your total position delta
has increased or decreased by at least +1.00 or -1.00 delta (or more), you make an
"adjustment" by buying or selling more of the underlying asset to get your
position back to delta neutral. You can also sell off some of your options to get back to
delta neutral. But the point is, you make profits consistently by making these
adjustments.
- If the price of the underlying asset doesn't move around
much, close out the entire position. You need some price action for this approach to work.
If the market just sits there, time decay will eat away at this position.
Keep an eye on the implied volatility of
the options you're using. If it moves toward the high end of its 2-year range, stay away
from this position for a while. Otherwise, you might have excessive time decay in your
options when the implied volatility starts to drop.
The options you buy should have at least
30-60 days remaining before expiration. Remember that time decay accelerates as the
option's expiration date approaches, so if you allow more time, you minimize the time
decay.
As you have seen, these trade positions
benefit by price movement in the underlying asset. It puts you in the enviable position of
being able to take full advantage of big price moves, in any direction. |